If you are betting on NFL football you have come to the right place. My name is Kevin, and I am a popular and trusted handicapper who specializes in NFL football (along with other sports). On this NFLBettingPicks.org blog I will be posting my weekly NFL betting picks, and keeping my full record on display below. I am ready to make some money with my NFL picks, and would love to help you win some money too!
2011 NFL Picks Record:
1 Star Picks Record = 31-11-1
3 Star (Big Play) Picks Record = 22-21
5 Star (Big Play) Picks Record = 4-6-2
Click here for access to my Clients Only plays..
Overall Units +/- = +0.77
I sent out an email but forgot to update the website here…. After Week 13 (I believe it was Week 13) I switched over to making all plays either 3 units or 5 units. I was having a ton of success hitting a high percent (currently over 60%) but my low unit plays were doing better than [...]
7 picks going this week to clients… 1 of those picks I will post below… 1 STAR PICK – Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals – CARDINALS +5 (-110) (Note: I’m risking 1.10 units to win 1 unit) Dallas has won 4 straight games, including a last second 20-19 win on Thanksgiving against the Dolphins, to [...]
Hope you all enjoyed your Thanksgiving! This week I have one play for “non-clients” as the other 4 are only being sent to clients. 1 STAR PICK – Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons – FALCONS -9.5 (-104) (Note: I’m risking 1.04 units to win 1 unit) Minnesota has lost 4 of their last 5 games [...]
Alright, I'm going to give a run down on exactly how I run this NFL betting picks website…
First let me introduce myself. My name is Kevin and I've been handicapping sports for a couple of years now, with my main focus being NFL football, NHL hockey, and MLB baseball. I've helped a lot of people win money with my picks, and I hope to continue to do so year in and year out in each sport.
I am a VERY trusted and honest handicapper, which is a big reason I have a large following for my picks (the biggest reason being I am a winning bettor).
My full record and units won or loss are displayed on the website's home page for everyone to see – absolutely full disclosure. Why would I hide anything when I am a winning bettor?
OK, so how do my picks work?
Each week I will be releasing "small plays" that will be rated as 1 star plays (some to clients only, some posted here for free).
I will also be releasing "big plays" to clients only that will either be rated a 3 star or 5 star play.
A star is a unit to me, which is 1% of my bankroll. For example, if I had a 5 Star NFL pick this would mean I would be risking 5 units or 5% of my bankroll. To put this into perspective: If I had a $1,000 bankroll I would be wagering $50 or If I had a $10,000 bankroll I would be wagering $500.
I should also note that I risk "to win" when I wager. For example, if we were betting the point spread with -110 odds I would be risking 1.10 units to win every 1 unit. With a 3 star play I would be risking 3.30 units to win 3 units.
If we were placing a moneyline bet that had a +130 line I would risk 1 unit to win 1.30 units. If it were a 5 unit play I would risk 5 units to win 6.5 units.
This is pretty basic stuff to the experienced bettors, but I realize I have a lot of casual bettors checking out my NFL betting picks as well. If you don't understand any of this just read over it a few times and send me an email if you still don't understand how it works.
I should also point out that I don't care what my record looks like, and I only care that we are winning money with my picks.
A lot of handicappers will display good records, but you have to realize that they may not even be profiting. If you are laying a lot of chalk on favorites you can have a winning record but be down money. Cappers may show off a 25-10 record, but be laying -400 or -500 on big favorites for a majority of those picks.
If you truly want to see how I am doing check out my units +/-. For example, you may see my record close to .500 but I am up +15 units on the season. This could be because my big plays are hitting, while my smaller plays aren't, or it could be because I'm picking a lot of underdogs on the moneyline.
Just be careful when you see NFL handicapper's records – the bottom line is the money made at the end of the season, not the record.
Anyways, I am a very stand up guy and have nothing here to hide on my NFL betting picks blog. If you have any questions what so ever don't be afraid to email me (my email can be found at the bottom of this page). You can also visit my About Me page to learn more about me, and hear from some past clients of mine that I've helped win money.
Good Luck this NFL season, and I hope you bookmark the site!