I’ve got seven picks this week in the NFL, and I’m ready for a big week. Below is a free pick from one of the seven we’ve got locked in.
2 UNIT = Philadelphia Eagles @ Denver Broncos – OVER 57 POINTS (-103)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.94 units)
This is a very high total for an NFL game, but deservingly so. The Broncos currently rank 1st in the NFL in team offense averaging 486 yards per game, and first by over 10 points averaging 42.3 points per game. The Broncos have also been leading big in the 2nd half of all of their games so far, so even more points could have been scored in all three games if they needed a bigger cushion. The Eagles aren’t far behind Denver in offense production ranking 2nd with 461 yards per game. They haven’t put up as many points, but they have still put up a respectable 26.3 ppg over their first three weeks (8th in the NFL). That average could be higher, but a few costly turnovers in their Week 3 game vs Kansas City led to the Eagles scoring just 16 points (they were averaging 31.5 prior to that game). Defensively the Broncos have been average allowing 370 yards per game (19th in the NFL) and 23.7 papg (17th). The Eagles are near the bottom of the league in defensive categories giving up 438 yards against per game (30th) and 28.7 papg (26th). Philadelphia’s passing defense is ranked 29th in the league which can be scary going against Peyton Manning at home where he will keep the crowd quiet to run his no huddle offense. So far in Denver’s games we’ve seen totals of 76, 74, and 58. Now with a high powered Eagles offense coming into town with a few extra days to prepare (they played on Thursday last week) I expect this total to also reach at least 60 points and look more like a college football score. This is a high total, but not high enough in my opinion – take the OVER.