NFL Week 13 Picks

7 picks going this week to clients… 1 of those picks I will post below…

1 STAR PICK – Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals – CARDINALS +5 (-110)
(Note: I’m risking 1.10 units to win 1 unit)

Dallas has won 4 straight games, including a last second 20-19 win on Thanksgiving against the Dolphins, to move their record to 7-4 on the season. The Cowboys are just 2-3 on the road this season, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall. Arizona will enjoy the return of Kevin Kolb under center this week, although they managed to win 3 of their last 4 games (home and away against St Louis and @Phialdelphia). The Cardinals are just 4-7 on the season, but a respectable 2-2 at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Take note that the Cowboys are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 3.5-10, and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite overall. Dallas is also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs a team with a losing record, and 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in December. Arizona has fared well as a big medium sized home underdog, going 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10. The Cowboys could have easily lost their last two games (an overtime win and last second field goal win), while the Cardinals are playing good football right now. Too many points to be giving the Cardinals at home against a team that struggles as a favorite. I’ll take the Cardinals getting 5 points at home.

Good Luck with your Week 13 betting!